The I method used to estimate the size of solar water heating system needed to achieve an 80% solar fraction is detailed in this pdf
Basically I used the RETScreen software to size solar water heating systems that would deliver an 80% solar fraction in fifteen US cities that cover all types of climates in the US. This basically just requires trying increasing amounts of collector area until the system provides an 80% solar fraction for the climate being looked at. Additional runs were made to see what happens as the collector area is increased or decreased from the area required for an 80% solar fraction. RETScreen was developed by Natural Resources Canada and is a highly respected solar water heating analysis and sizing program. Some US states require that a RETScreen analysis be done before paying incentives for solar water heating systems. RETScreen takes into account: local climate, collector type and efficiency, collector tilt and azimuth, ground water temperature, type and cost of backup water heating, water heating target temperature, hot water demand, storage tank size, and various other losses. It reports on energy produced, CO2 emissions, and provides a financial analysis including payback period and return on investment. The RETScreen software is free and can be downloaded here... Assumptions UsedIn order to keep things managable, the following assumptions were made in the RETScreen analyses I did:
See the description of the $2K System for the details on the collector, tank and controlls assumed for this system. The tank size is done at 2.5 gallons per sqft of collector, but is not allowed to go below 100 gallons in order to have room for the pipe coil heat exchanger. It could be argued that the tank capacity per sqft of collector should depend on climate (larger for warmer climates) -- I looked at this a bit and it did not make much difference on DIY system cost or savings or performance. The cost of the system is calculated as:
If these assumptions do no match your situation, see this page...
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